As we approach spring, and all its glory – warm and sunny weather, flora and fauna, outdoor activities, an occasional rain shower, weddings, graduations, baseball, and traditionally a good time for the real estate market – is our real estate market poised to spring forward?
Over the past year, generally speaking, the real estate market in Petaluma has stabilized (certain market segments have decreased, i.e. distressed sales, while other market segments have gained some slight appreciation, i.e. those who purchased short sales or foreclosures at discounted prices). A question that I am often asked is “when is the market going to get better?” The answer to that question depends on your situation – if you’re a buyer, the market is definitely better because home prices have decreased significantly since the peak of the market in August 2005, thus making homes more affordable: lower property taxes, which are based on the purchase price, so the lower the home price, the lower the property taxes, and interest rates have been at record lows.
Many first-time buyers became disappointed when the Home Buyer Tax Credit expired in 2010, however, it’s a better time to buy now because home prices are a bit lower, interest rates are lower, and if you compare the cost of purchasing a home now versus last year when the Home Buyer Tax Credit was available, it is financially better to buy now.
Move-up buyers are also taking advantage of lower home prices. Yes, a home in today’s market is quite a bit lower than in 2005, but so is the replacement home that a move-up buyer will purchase once they sell their existing home (if a current homeowner is in a position to hold their real estate and rent it out, hopefully the property will cash flow or break even, then they may reap the rewards in the future if the property appreciates).
Another factor that may help the stability of the real estate market is the potential for a housing shortage. According to Mike Castleman, founder and CEO of Metrostudy, which tracks real-time data of the country’s inventory of new homes, a housing shortage is looming that may soon create a demand for new homes. As explained in this CNN Money article, our nation is facing a historic drop in new construction (new home inventory is currently at less than 25% of what it was during the 2006 boom). He predicts that lower prices will soon drive buyers back to the market, however, there will be fewer new homes for them to buy and it will take builders time to ramp up their construction efforts. During that lull, homebuyers will bid the prices up due to the lack of available inventory.
Posted by:
Doug Hecker
The Duran Group
Deborah Byrne

Martha O’Hayer
According to
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Traditionally, fall brings about a change in activity in the real estate market since many homebuyers plan their transactions around the school year. With school in session, sales can tend to slow. Additionally, many sellers take their homes off the market for the holidays and wait for the more favorable spring selling climate. Pair the cyclical trend with reduced consumer spending, an increasing unemployment rate and decreasing cash flow, and this would appear to be an unfavorable time to list your home.
The real estate industry is full if clichés and metaphors, for example: “location, location, location” — “a wave of foreclosures is about to hit the market” — “are we at the bottom of the market?” — “interest rates are the lowest they’ve been since the Macedonian Period!” These clichés and metaphors are spewed out more frequently than the phrase “Bailout” flashes across the ticker on Fox News,
Realize that dream here in beautiful Sonoma County Wine Country. Because of the down turn in the Real Estate market, those types of properties are more affordable now than they have been for a long time. You could find a property with a vineyard that’s just large enough for you to enjoy the fruits of your labor, and comes complete with a stunning home attached.
I walked him around the neighborhood to see if anyone recognized him. We have a large dog population here, and their humans walk them regularly. No one had seen him before. I took him to the local vet to see if he had a chip, but he did not. We kept him out front on a long chain during the day just in case someone was driving around looking for him. We placed flyers around the neighborhood, put him on Craig’s List, filed a “found dog” report with the Sonoma County Animal Control, and put an ad in the newspaper with no results. I quickly named him Brownie, so we had something to call him. I know – no imagination.
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